The US and Taliban have enjoyed a fairly stable cease fire since trump agreed to his “peace deal” in Feb 2020. That has permitted us to drawn down troop levels while seeing deaths plummet. If we were to break that agreement without the Taliban agreeing to the extension, the cease fire would end. I Stand with Afghan Women T-Shirt The small US force would be under fire almost immediately, and we would inevitably have to send thousands of troops back in to control the territory we wanted. Death tolls would climb, both US soldiers and especially Afghan citizens.
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Joe pushed things to the edge unilaterally extending four months already. His administration doesn’t believe they can get away with that again, and they are in far better position to know than the critics.The reason we avoided doing so was to try to avoid precisely what happened here – a rapid evacuation was believed to trigger exactly the kind of morale collapse and surrender of the Afghan forces, creating the exodus situation we see here. I Stand with Afghan Women T-Shirt With hindsight, we know this happened anyway. But given that all available intelligence believed that the Afghan forces would hold out much longer even in the most pessimistic projections,
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it makes sense they would want to draw it out and help the forces take control themselves. They were unable to do so. Looking back with hindsight,I Stand with Afghan Women T-Shirt the major flaw in all of this was abandoning Bagram. The US would be in a much stronger position and could potentially land thousands of troops if needed. Abandoning it gave the Taliban a much stronger hand since the US position being concentrated at an airport probably can’t be defended from a major concentrated attack As you hinted at though, the current airport plan only falls apart if the Afghan government collapsed before the end of August. It wasn’t widely seen as a major possibility until it was too late